Trend Radar 2026

What 2026 smells like

The year’s highlights from Fragrantica, Paris Perfume Week and leading beauty editors — what is rising, what is cooling, the launches to know, and what to build next.

Rising now

● = trend reports that call it out (of 9)
Darker gourmandsSweet but more refined and longer-lasting
Mineral & atmospheric freshWet stone, ozone, air after a storm
Pulpy & tropical fruitsRhubarb, pear, mango — richer and juicier
Nutty texturesPistachio, almond, toasted nuts
Gourmand orange blossomHoneyed, marshmallow-soft neroli
Lush fruity-woody rosesFull, unctuous roses with fruit and woods
Ritual teaSmoky and green teas as calm, wellness scents
Smoked coffeeRoasted, smoky coffee in gourmands
Boozy cognac & bourbonWarm liquor accords on ambers and woods
High-intensity editionsElixirs, extraits and ‘intense’ flankers

Cooling

What is giving way, and to what
Heavy oud & dense amber→Transparent, airy woods
Ultra-minimal clean musks→Skin musks with a touch of sweetness
Challenging, avant-garde niche→Crowd-pleasing, wearable scents
Strict seasonal wardrobes→Wear-anytime, layering scents
Busy multi-note blends→Single-note ‘soli’ scents
Candy-sweet sugar bombs→Darker, refined gourmands
Classic marine aquatics→Mineral & ozonic freshness
Generic tropical florals→Nature & environment scents
Strictly gendered launches→Gender-fluid wardrobes
Light, short-lived EDTs→Long-lasting intense editions

Launches to know

New this year, getting attention
  1. Glimmer · Estée LauderGourmand amber floral
  2. Ambre Levant · Louis VuittonAnimalic oud-amber
  3. Wild Vetiver · CreedCitrus-fresh vetiver
  4. Rhu Berry · Henry RoseRhubarb-tart fruity gourmand
  5. Candy Rush · D’OrsayMarshmallow orange blossom
  6. Neith · Neela Vermeire CréationsAn editors’ favourite of 2026
  7. Tabac Sahara · GuerlainTobacco from the house’s 2026 line-up
  8. Hero Elixir · BurberryIntense take on Hero
  9. Scandal Pour Homme Elixir · Jean Paul GaultierIntense men’s flanker
  10. Gypsy Water Absolu · ByredoRicher Gypsy Water

Community favourites

Fragrantica Community Awards 2025, voted early 2026
  1. Angels’ Share Paradis · By KilianBest unisex · boozy
  2. Eclaire Pistache · LattafaBest pistachio scent
  3. Blue Talisman Extrait · Ex NihiloCategory winner
  4. Muguet Millésime 2025 · GuerlainCategory winner
  5. Babycat Raw Bourbon · YSLLeather & bourbon
  6. Impadia · BDK ParfumsLush fruity rose
  7. Supremacy Collector’s Edition · AfnanTop-voted men’s
  8. Gentleman Society Ambrée · GivenchyTop-voted men’s
  9. Dior Homme Intense 2025 · DiorBest iris for men nominee
  10. Pêche Mirage · GuerlainOsmanthus nominee

What to launch next

Our perfumers’ read for brands
  • A gourmand with depth — coffee, pistachio or salted milk on a vanilla base. Gourmand oils →
  • A mineral-fresh summer line — citrus, ozone and clean woods. Fresh oils →
  • A boozy amber for the festive season — cognac, bourbon, tobacco. Woody & smoky →
  • A modern rose — fruity, woody and full-bodied. Floral oils →
  • An intense edition of your bestseller — buyers want longevity in 2026.
  • Decode any 2026 launch — and see our closest oils. Open the Decoder →

Sources: Fragrantica (Paris Perfume Week 2026, editors’ Best of Spring–Summer 2026, Community Awards), Who What Wear perfumer panel, BeautyMatter, NewBeauty, Bustle, WhatScent, Journal du Luxe, Beauty Independent, Scento, Accio. · Updated 1 October 2026.

The long view · launches 2015–19 vs 2021–25

From our own database: share of 11,089 launches from 2021–25 that list each note, compared with 8,933 launches from 2015–19.

Rising notes

Davana2.1% (0.5%) ×4.1
Milk2.8% (1.0%) ×2.8
Marshmallow1.3% (0.5%) ×2.8
Cherry2.0% (0.7%) ×2.7
Sugar2.8% (1.1%) ×2.7
Chocolate1.3% (0.6%) ×2.1
Mango1.7% (0.9%) ×2.0

Fading notes

Cloves1.0% (2.3%) ×0.42
Oud3.6% (8.1%) ×0.45
Lily of the valley2.9% (6.3%) ×0.47
Green notes1.4% (2.9%) ×0.48
Citrus2.0% (3.6%) ×0.57